France’s presidential race for next year’s general election seems to be getting tight. According to a new poll, National Rally leader Marine Le Pen would comfortably win over rival Jean-Luc Mélenchon if the runoff was to be held today. Le Pen’s domestic popularity in France has surged this year.
French Presidential Election: New Poll Shows National Rally’s Marine Le Pen Beating Jean-Luc Mélenchon in Potential 2027 Runoff
A new Toluna Harris Interactive poll provides an early glimpse of how the 2027 French presidential election might play out. The survey, carried out between November 3 and 5, 2026, projects Marine Le Pen leading the first round with 34% to 36% of voting intentions, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon is expected to win between 18% and 19%.
In all five candidate scenarios examined, Mélenchon is projected to make it to the second round. The poll also indicates that Le Pen would beat Mélenchon in a hypothetical runoff. Le Pen is an ultra right winger while Mélenchon is known for his far-left ideology.
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